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Summon or not?
I started playing the game, (again), in February, because that was the time I became interested in fire emblem. So I missed out on the first Halloween banner. I really want Halloween Jakob for my armor emblem team, and I'm at 91 orbs right now. It's a long way till October and there might be a lot of great banner. My question is should I summon if it's worth it, or should I save up and have a better chance at getting Jakob?
Answers
If you can have something like 250 orbs for Halloween banner I'd say you have a very good chance of getting him. If you want exact numbers I can pull out my spreadsheet.
We get around 300 orbs a month and seasonal banners are usually around for close to a month so I think you can summon in the meantime. Do be judicious with your summoning decisions, though, because orbs are limited.
EDIT: wow people are posting all kinds of crazy numbers. Some grounding is in order here. 100 orbs has about a 41% chance to find H.Jakob (and not counting pity rate, but the difference it makes is quite small. I do count summoning circles with no colourless orbs though). So more than 50% chance that you would miss. 227 orbs gives you a 70% chance.
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