Do you have any more F2P orbs you could gain? If so, I'd work on obtaining those and up and towards the end of the banner (there's like, what, 18-19 days?).
If not, I'd kind of go for a mix of those in putting money BUT also harbouring the small amount of orbs that you can over these 2 weeks+ (dailies, Arena, potential Quests).
I was in a similiar situation when the new Katarina banner came out, but ended up getting her today at a 3.75% and just sheer YOLO Red snipes (also F2P). Ran into the misfortune of not even having Reds in 4-5 sessions, but my stubborness just did it. You also have a lot more time.
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