GamePress

Lot of options and few orbs

Righ now I wanna (and need) to pull on 3 diferent banners, 2 of them did not even come yet:

1. Ploy Skills banner (Lute)
2. New Haloween banner (H!Myrrh)
3. New Refinemment banner (Tana and Innes)

Literally need 4 heroes from 3 diferent banners. Reasons:

1. Lute. She is my summoner supported hero. Lute is my favorite character since I played FE8. Already have one, but I would like to mergue her until she gets +10.

2. H!Myrrh. She is broken as fuck and cute as fuck. I wanna get all characters from FE8, and already have the other 3. I know the new seasonal banners last like 1 complete month so I have the hope I will get her even after Lute and Frelia brothers banners finish. Or not...

3. Innes and Tana. I have them both. But like Lute, I wanna +10 them. My Innes also would need a better IVs, cause he is -Res and I think he potentially will get Ata/Res Bond as refinement, so focusing on his Res would be ok. He also has Ata/Res bond 3 on A slot. My Tana is +Def, but I would like to get some mergues for her too...

Which hero should I focus first? My favorite character Lute? The limited Halloween version of Myrrh? I dont know when I will be available to have the chance to get her again...
Tana for mergues? (I would prefer Lute, honestly), or a Innes with good IVs?
What do you think? Should I focus on just 2 heroes of these banners? If I pull on Tana and Innes banners, will I have time to pull and get HMyrrh?

Asked by Aimizu Kanashimi2 months 3 weeks ago

Report

Answers

PD: Only have like 5 orbs right now. I know I will get some more on TT, and Halloween chapters.

halloween banner definitely. You’ll need an arena/Tempest trials bonus unit.

I'd give my vote to Myrrh.
since you already have the other 3, I'd get 1 myrrh first, then if you still have leftover orb, then you can try get another Lute.

You caught my attention that time you asked a question and said you're new except you actually knew a lot already. I'm interested to hear what you think about trying to get more 5* focus units for our orbs by avoiding stuff like banners with four focus units (except on 5%).
GamePress shows what the numbers look like here. https://fireemblem.gamepress.gg/know-odds-general-probability-analysis-fire-emblem-heroes

Because there's the consideration of having the unit for all that time during which one would otherwise have to hold on to orbs. I think it can be worth having Ophelia for 4 extra months even if she requires 30-50 more orbs to pull.

Hello, thanks for remembering me!
As I said before, I read a lot already when asking that 1st question. I was at tier 19 at that time, and the 1st time dropping off to tier 18, so about 9-10 weeks of playing.

for the question itself, I just suggest what I would do, if there were multiple character that I want. And if I dont have character A, I would definitely get a copy first, before I continue merging another favorite unit. so my suggestion not on mathematical basis, but on fun basis.

On mathematical basis though, since I am not that good with statistics, but Lute/Innes/Tana have a higher chance than Myrrh
according to the link, the game decides which pool to choose 1st, then which hero to choose, then show you the summoning stone corresponding to the summoned hero, so you would get higher chance to get Lute/Innes/Tana than Myrrh, expecially they are on 3 focus standard banner, vs 4 focus special banner.
so you have 1% chance from focus pool, and about (3/89)% chance from 5* pool (there is 89 heroes on lute banner) vs 0.75% chance from, assuming they are using an equivalent distribution.
So assuming 5 orbs a stone, then expected value forgetting a Lute is about 484orbs while for a myrrh 666orbs. I am sure I am supersimplifying these calculation, In practice, you would need much lower number due to increased rate and lower orb cost during a summoning session, but well might higher too because pitybreaker.
Now, talking about off banner, your only hope to get Myrrh is on legendary banner, or next year Haloween banner (I am not sure, since I am not here last year, maybe they will give new unit)
on legendary banner though, Myrrh chance only about (2/3)%.
on the other hand, chance for you to get Lute as pitybreaker is that (3/89)% on every banner, and will become smaller and smaller with more hero in 5* pool. So I guess you have better chance getting Lute now then get myrrh later during legendary banner, than getting myrrh now, and hope Lute pitybreaker on any banner. but maybe you can hope for another Lute banner ?

But personally I would get at least 1 myrrh for fun though if you like her even though it cost more, unless you are dead set like me to +10 L!ephraim (saving 700 orbs already)
I am not sure if this is the answer that you expect, Seeker.

Heh, got pity broken by Lute trying to get Helbindi. But hey, she was +Atk -Hp. Best of luck getting her to +10

Tana is hard to find on banners, but so is Lute. I'd say go for one of them. If you go Tana + Innes and you have 200 orbs you're getting very slightly better prices because you can pull two colours on one banner.

H.Myrrh will take more orbs for a copy so I recommend against. Ideally you would be able to pick her up on a legendary banner a few months later. She'll still be just as cute, and by then IS will probably have started to release stuff that counters armours' forced doubles so you can figure out whether you still want to commit or whether you'd rather use your orbs for more merges on the others.