Let's talk GC strategy pt2: scoring changes

They've made some changes which should help alleviate the madness that happens in the last 3 hours. I'm trying to figure out what the best strategy for a team would be.

Now it won't matter as much if you have 17 territories in the end if you had like 4 for most of the battle and fired all your lances during the last round. But let's look at how it actually works out:
- If you just save all your lances for the end, suppose your team gets 20 areas. Your team score will probably be 21-22 because you'll have kept enough areas during the first rounds.
- If you have 10 territories at the end of all rounds, you get 10 for the final round plus 2 per round x 10 rounds = 20 for a score of 30.
- If your team is aggressive early on and tries to hold 15 territories for the first ten rounds and succeeds 70% of the time, that's (7x3) + (3x2) for the rounds during which the team failed = 27. The team needs only to keep four areas during the final round to score better than a team that holds 10 territories right through.
- If your team tries to start slow and uses "disadvantage bonus" (higher starting score in areas held when starting a round with few areas) to hold 5 territories before exploding in the final round, that's 10x1 points, which means you would need 20 points to equalize with a team that holds 10 territories right through.

It seems preferable, then, to score as much as possible earlier on rather than focusing on the last round even though each territory is worth a point rather than maybe 1/5 of a point in the last round.

One important consideration is that it generally takes less investment to defend areas than to seize them. The team holding an area always starts out with a score advantage in that area. If a team can seize 5 additional areas early on without losing any and then they just keep defending, defending, defending spending as little stamina as they can to just barely keep their territory, they are going to do fantastic because they don't need very many points while other teams will need to KO them in order to advance, which costs way more stamina to seize one area than just scoring higher at the end of a round.

The other major change is that rounds last four hours as well as fewer rounds per battle. Consequently, knockouts are going to start playing a huge role 8 or even 12 hours before the battle is over. I think it's probably clever of them that they balanced this change with the importance of score in every round, so that knockouts have a higher opportunity cost than ever before.

Do you agree with my suggestion for a team's best strategy, or do you think it's still better to focus attention in the last 2-3 rounds?