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Legendary Banner Luck
I have spent all my FTP orbs I have earned since just before the anouncement of this banner. I got a butt load of 3🌟, like 5 4🌟, got pitty broken by L!Ephraim at my first 9% then on my Last summon with my last 5 orbs I got B!Ninian. So I now have a +8 merge on her and I am going to wait for New Years banner this year before summoning again. Then the next Bridal season to finish my merge project on my B!Ninian.
How have all of you been doing on this L!Banner?
Answers
The bad side: B Sanaki, Sumia, and Flylivia. All three were the bottom three picks in their respective colors, so my bad luck continues. I have a neutral Flylivia and was hoping this one would at least be good IVs, but nope, she is -Spd.
The bright side: Sanaki and Sumia were both +Atk, and both perform much better than I thought they would, especially together with their B Links. And to keep staying positive, the fact remains my luck HAS to shift soon based on probability, since that Halloween and Legendary Banners ate me hard.
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Sorry to break it to you, but there is no such thing as 'luck probability'.
If someone has a losing streak in a casino for 10 years, that doesn't mean that they have 'gain so much luck' are are going to strike out.
Luck doesn't exist, probability and chance do.
Sorry to hear you didn't get the units you wanted, and I hope you get the ones you want in the future.
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I see what you mean, and maybe it's a word schematics, but... Take roulette. It has two greens (beyond all the red and blacks), so over a long term distance, the house always wins. It's also why they say to play the table together in blackjack.
Maybe I shouldn't have used the word 'luck', but probability happens over time. A person who loses in a casino for 10 years WILL eventually win, but that doesn't mean they win what they blew in 10 years back. If you have a bad steak for long enough, a good one will show up eventually. I recommend staying positive and think of it as 'getting it out of the way'. Probability usually balances out. I was dealt a great hand during CYL2, and now I'm paying the piper, but it will come around. Probability says its impossible to have a bad streak continuously without ever getting better, ya know?
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Probability doesn't say that at all. If a person has a 1% chance of winning in slots, and they lose for 10 years, its still a 1% chance. The past has no bearing on probability.
If a someone plays that same slot for an infinite amount of time, than they have a 100% chance of winning --as per monkeys and typewriters--, however, humans don't live forever, so there is no guarantee that after a loss someone is more likely to win.
Probability only balances out if the probability is 50/50, as its balanced. The 1% slot machine 'balances out' when the house has won 99 times and the player once. If the house has won 99 times, that does not guarantee that the next one is a winner though, as its still a 1% chance of winning.
Its all fair to have hope, just don't base decisions off it. I like to look on the bright side of things, but I'm not going to persuade myself into believing a system that doesn't exist.
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Ayyy. I spent 160 orbs pulling on pretty much all the colors, but especially for Bridal Ninian. Extra respect for working on merging her; mine is +4 (I got four copies of her on her original banner). From this legendary banner, I got:
1 Bridal Ninian (Bad IVs, fine for merging)
2 YT Olivia (One bad IVs for fodder, one so-so IVs to keep)
1 Legendary Lyn (Bad IVs, used for Spd Tactic fodder)
So I did decently I guess. Really did want more copies of Bridal Ninian though.
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