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How good are the odds for the Christmas banner

The summon simulator wasn’t very appeasing tbh haha.. I’m thinking of dropping 300 orbs on this banner, I want to know if it’s wise.
We still need to know stats to see if they are “broken” but an armored healer looks like fun even if Eirika is “basic” with her alts.

Asked by Hussain2 weeks 1 day ago
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Answers

When each orb comes out there is a 1% chance it will be each focus unit. Disparity comes from orb distribution between quantity 3-4 stars of each color and what colors you pull on. The base chance remains 1%

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If you pick an orb blindly without considering its colour, then he's correct, 1 in 100 it's any individual focus unit. The reason why any orb of any given colour has more than 1 in 100 probability of being a focus unit is because those 100 orbs are pre-divided into 4 colours for us.

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3 person banner with no red focus is very good for full summons avoiding reds. Same stats as always being Fae will be the easiest to snipe, then Eirika, then Eph. In terms of fodder its about reversed. There's barely any good green fodder. Colorless has lots of bad, but when they are good they're really good. Blue has the most good fodder.

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It is wisest summoning on this banner if you snipe green, because Fae is the highest BST unit of the batch, has the best fodder and is in the easiest pool to pull from. Otherwise, I would advise restraint.

Of course, if you ABSOLUTELY "need" Ephraim or Eirika, this is probably the best banner to pull for them.

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Ephraim and Eirika you can probably get for something like 120 orbs each? Mathematical expectation should be somewhere around there.

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Yeah that makes sense summon simulator was Giving me 2X Erika + 1 Eph for 200-300 orbs I really only want one copy of Eph+Eirika then I’ll save for beasts/ NY.

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