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Clashing Thunderers Pull Percentage
Anyone remember the percentage chance of pulling any of the four blue focus hero(ines), along with nonfocus, for the Clashing Thunderers (2) band? (Ophelia, Ishtar, Linde, Olwen)
Im not convinced I'm going to spend all my orbs on Legendary Heroes, and may save some for this event since the odds should be higher than normal.
Answers
You might like to have a look at this
https://fireemblem.gamepress.gg/q-a/how-calculate-orb-costs
I put several links there, one of which is https://fireemblem.gamepress.gg/q-a/what-chance-pull-equation-5-star-current-banner
Based on data we used in that discussion, the probability of pulling a focus unit is about 10.5%, so if we say 1 in 10, you're looking at 50-ish orbs a focus unit plus a circle here or there where no blues appear.
If you want 3/4 of the focus units, you're getting a significantly better rate than trying for 3/3 on the legendary banner. (I think you're doing even better than 3/3 greens on the legendary, in fact, but I didn't check with calculations.) If you want 2/4, depending on how interesting the off-focus pool is to you you're doing about as well as trying for 3/3 blues on the legendary. If you only want 1/4, you're not doing better than getting an abnormal number of pitybreaks while pulling for H.Niles on the seasonal banner.
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